Race 4 The pickings in this $20K maiden claimer for 3-year-olds are pretty slim and that, more than anything else, makes the two favorites on the morning line – #5 Illustrious (9-5) and #2 Fazaro (5-2) – look formidable. Illustrious just went evenly from off the pace when dropped to this level last time, but he had run pretty well while contesting the pace and earning a competitive figure two back. Fazaro had an excuse first time out when encountering trouble after the start versus maiden special weight competition. He cuts in half for this after showing improved speed and tiring over this distance last month.  Deeper tickets might want to add second-time starter #6 Red Revolution, who stretches out off the claim for Robert Falcone while also adding Lasix; and/or the debuting #8 Question My Sanity, who is by Bodemeister and is a half-brother to Twelve Twenty Two, who went 7 for 9 on dirt in his career while winning multiple stakes and earned a career-top Beyer Speed Figure of 99.  Race 5 #1 Runabout hasn't won a race since scoring over this course and distance back in December 2019 (for this trainer), but he has actually improved since then and has finished either second or third in each of his last seven starts. He was making his first start back from the layoff last month when having to steady after the start to wind up last early and then making a game run to contention in a race that was dominated up close. He moves inside for this and can benefit from the cutback in distance.  I want to lean on Runabout while making #3 Noble Thought and #8 Potantico backups. :: For the first time ever, our premium past performances are free! Get free Formulator now! Race 6 This race offers a tough decision for pick six players in the form of morning-line favorite #4 Prisoner, who was last seen as a juvenile back in the summer of 2020 scoring a decisive debut win with a strong 85 Beyer for Pletcher. Things have obviously gone wrong since then, and he makes his return more than 600 days later while dropping in class, now with Rudy Rodriguez.  Prisoner will obviously be hard to handle if he can still run, but with all the questions surrounding that horse, #10 Swinton becomes an interesting alternative at a better price. Swinton showed sharp speed to wire maiden-special rivals in his second career start with a solid 77 Beyer and did so despite failing to break sharply from the gate. He cuts back for this while dropping back down in class, and he is fast enough to make things hard on Prisoner up on the pace.  Race 7 #4 Three Jokers failed to fire in the Empire Classic two starts back, but he has otherwise been right there in all five starts since being stretched out in distance, including that last one when chasing front-running favorite Core Conviction gamely and just falling short. He is logical, but I also want to use another runner from that Core Conviction race, #6 Dust Devil.  Dust Devil has made four of his last five starts going longer around two turns, but he is better over shorter distances and ran an underrated race in that Dec. 12 affair when bumped at the top of the stretch while making his run. His versatility gives new rider Jose Ortiz options.  #7 Southern District is a logical contender for top connections, but he doesn't hold an edge on this field and might wind up being overused in multi-race wagers. Race 8 Morning-line favorites #9 Early Voting (3-1) and #1 Constitutionlawyer (7-2) are logical in the compelling Grade 3 Withers, but there is enough going on in this field of 11 to consider expanding outside of those two runners.  #3 Smarten Up saw his Beyer Figure decline while scoring a decisive maiden win at Parx Racing last November, but he seemed to run very well in that spot while attending a quick pace before pulling clear with authority. He backed that effort up very well in the sloppy Jerome last time while taking a lot of dirt before finishing well for second.  #4 Gilded Age has something to find as he makes his first start out of the maiden ranks while facing a quality field, but he is used to facing tough competition on the track. He ran better than it looks two back when enduring an impossible wide trip at Keeneland behind Giant Game, who went on to finish a good third in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile, then took a step forward last time with blinkers added. According to DRF Formulator, Mott is 9 for his last 29 with 3-year-old last-out maiden winners routing on dirt in stakes races, 31 percent, $3.05 return on investment; 5 for 10 over nine furlongs in that sample, $5.26 ROI. #11 Cooke Creek drew poorly on the far outside, but his overall form makes him a player in here at a fair price and he should not be adversely affected by the added distance of this race.  Race 9 #10 Golden Code showed good speed in his career debut in December, but he was outrun to the early lead by the experienced and heavily-favored Bold Journey and could only chase that rival to no avail. He moves outside for this second start and might be the best speed this time. I also want to cover #3 Moped Dennis in this final leg. Moped Dennis did spend a lot of time on a good rail in his debut here two weeks ago, but he was outpaced early in that race, before getting untracked late to gain ground on the leaders. He has pedigree to lean on and can improve quickly with that experience behind him.  Ticket: 2, 5 with 1, 3, 8 with 10 with 4, 6, 7 with 3, 4, 11 with 3, 10 = $108